以下的中文,请哪位懂的人帮我翻译一下,高分求助

广东省经济形势日新月异,在全国处于领先地位,其宏观调控与市场发展经验对全国各地区都具有很大的指导意义。要想做到对宏观经济进行积极而有效的调控,首先要对未来经济的走势进行预... 广东省经济形势日新月异,在全国处于领先地位,其宏观调控与市场发展经验对全国各地区都具有很大的指导意义。要想做到对宏观经济进行积极而有效的调控,首先要对未来经济的走势进行预测,根据预测结果决定是需要刺激还是抑制经济规模,从而制定相应的宏观调控手段,如货币政策、财政政策等。在现有的预测方法中,时间序列预测最常用的统计方法之一。
本文选用了时间序列分析方法。首先对时间序列理论与现今广东省经济情况作了必要的阐述,之后我们基于时间序列理论,以广东省1979年至2008年30年来省内生产总值为基础,利用Excel和SAS软件对数据进行时间序列分析,建立时间序列模型,并对模型进行检验,综合各种条件最终确定较适合模型,然后预测2004至2008年的GDP值,通过与实际数据对比,可得到预测效果良好,最后利用所建模型对广东省未来2009至2013年5年的省内生产总值做出预测,结论很具有参考价值,时间序列分析不失为用于经济预测的传统而有效的统计学方法。
我要译的就是英语,不过别拿那工具或者是网上的翻译过来唬弄哥,谢谢~!
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我爱保护环境
2010-05-29
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Economic situation in Guangdong province changes with each passing day and is placed in a leading position in the whole country, its macro view adjusts to control to develop with market experience to have very great instruction meaning to all the whole whole country areas.To want to attain to be to the macro view economy carry on actively but effectively adjusting to control want the trend to the future economy to carry on an estimate first, according to predicting decide to is to need to be stimulated or repress economic scale as a result, draw up thus homologous of the macro view adjust to control means, like monetary policy, and public finance policy...etc..In the existing estimate method, the time sequence predicts one of the inest common use statistics methods.
This selected works was used time sequence to analyze a method.Made to sequence theory and economic circumstance in the present Guangdong province in time first necessity of elaborate, after we according to the sequence theory in time, with 1979-2008 years 30 in the last yearses in Guangdong province save inside the total output value for foundation, make use of Excel and SAS software logarithms according to carry on the sequence analysis in time, establishment time sequence model, and carry on an examination to the model, synthesize various condition finally makes sure more suitable model, then predict GDP is worth for 2004-2008 years and passes to contrast with actual data, can get an estimate to contain good effect, end the exploitation do an estimate to Guangdong province the coming 2009-2013 yearses and 5 years of total output value inside the province the model type, the conclusion has to make reference to value very much, and the time sequence analysis doesn't lose to learn a method for the traditional but effective statistics used for an economic estimate.
极速狂飙119
2010-05-16 · TA获得超过721个赞
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要什么语?
我翻的是英语

Changing economic situation in Guangdong Province, in a leading position, its macroeconomic control and market development experience in all parts of the country of great significance. To be active and effective macroeconomic regulation and control, we must first predict future economic trends, according to forecasts need to stimulate or inhibit the decision to economies of scale, so as to formulate the corresponding macro-control measures, such as monetary policy, fiscal policy and so on. Existing forecasting methods, time series prediction the most commonly used statistical methods.
This paper applies time series analysis. First time series theory and the current economic situation in Guangdong Province made the necessary exposition, and then we based on time series theory, Guangdong Province from 1979 to 2008 the province's GDP in 30 years based on the use of Excel and SAS software for data time series analysis, time series models, and models were tested to determine a more comprehensive conditions for the final model, and forecast from 2004 to 2008 the GDP value, compared with the actual data, predicted good results obtained, the final use of the The model of Guangdong Province from 2009 to 2013 the next 5 years to make the province's GDP forecast, the conclusion is a reference value, time series analysis for the economic forecast after all the traditional and effective statistical method.
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