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Therefore,watervaportransportcouldmostlikelyplayanimportantroleinthedecreaseofprecipi... Therefore, water vapor transport could most likely play an
important role in the decrease of precipitation over NEC
and the Tibetan Plateau in the mid-21st century. By the
late 21st century (Fig. 4b), these features seem to be intensified.
The water vapor flux over western and northeasternmost
China is increased by more than 50%, while
it is less than 40% for the Yangtze River basin (not
shown). Moreover, the areas of increasing divergences in
NEC and the Tibetan Plateau expand to some extent.
However, no strong implications can be drawn for the
evidently decreasing precipitation in SWC from the water
vapor flux and its divergence changes. This situation calls
for a deeper investigation.
The long-term trend of water vapor flux and its divergence
are shown in Figs. 4c and 4d, respectively. As seen
in Fig. 4c, the magnitude of water vapor flux over most
areas of China increases by more than 0.4% per year, exceeding
0.6% per year for NWC. The significantly enhanced
water vapor transport and its convergence is a
crucial supplement to the intensification of atmospheric
water balance processes over NWC with enhanced evapotranspiration
and precipitation. In contrast, although the
southwesterly water vapor flow over South China is expected
to strengthen, the southerly flow off the South
China Sea, which should be a main contributor, presents a
slight decreasing trend, while the southwesterly flow from
the Bay of Bengal increases. A further seasonal investigation
shows that the annual mean reduced southerly water
vapor transport over the South China Sea is not due to a
weakened summer southerly flow, which is dominated by
the East Asian summer monsoon and the western Pacific
subtropical high, but to an enhanced northerly flow during
autumn and winter. In fact, the water vapor transport
dominated by the Indian and East Asian summer monsoons
was found to be enhanced by the mid- and late-
21st century. The trend of water vapor flux divergence
over China shown in Fig. 4d is in accordance with Figs.
4a and 4b, being indicative of a potential loss of water
vapor over the Tibetan Plateau and NEC due to increasing
divergences, which are most significant in West China
and less significant in East China.
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因此,水蒸气运输可能最有可能发挥
重要的作用对NEC降水的减少
和青藏高原在21世纪。由
21世纪晚期(图4 b),这些特性似乎愈演愈烈。
西方和最东北的水汽通量
中国增加了逾50%,而
是不到40%的长江流域(不是
如图所示)。此外,越来越多的分歧的领域
NEC和青藏高原在某种程度上扩大。
但是,没有可以的强族悉烈影响棚毕
从水明显减少降水SWC
水汽通量及其散度变化。这种情况称为
更深入的调查。
水汽通量的长期趋势及其差异
无花果所示。4 c、4 d,分别。可以看到
在图4 c,水汽通量的大小
中国地区每年增加0.4%以上,超过
NWC每年0.6%。显著增强
水蒸气运输及其收敛性
重要补充大气的集约化发展
水平衡过程在NWC增强蒸散
和降水。相比之下,虽然
西南水汽流预计在中国南部
加强,向南流
中国海,这应该是一个主要因素,提出了一种
轻微的下降趋势,而西南流
孟加拉湾增加。进一步的季节性调查
显示,年平均减少了来自南方的水
蒸汽运输在南中国海并不是因为
夏季南风流减弱,这是占主导地位的
东亚夏季风和西太平洋
副热带高压,而是一个增强在北流
秋季和冬季。事实上,水蒸气运输
由印度和东亚夏季季风
发现增强了中期和晚期-
21世纪。水汽通量散度的趋势
对中国所示图4 d是依照无花果。
4 a和4 b,表明水的潜在损失
蒸汽在青藏高原和NEC将增加
在中国西方分歧,这是最重要的
在中国东部和更少的兆和乎重要。
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