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MerchantammoniapricesfirmedbothEastandWestofSuez,withforwardsalesintoJanuarysettingne... Merchant ammonia prices
firmed both East and West of Suez, with forward sales
into January setting new highs. New spot business was
confirmed at $315-320 pt fob Yuzhny, with the forward
market into 2H January said traded even at $350 pt fob.
Middle East spot ammonia, meantime, has been done at
$335 pt fob Qatar, auguring further increases into India
for the remaining formula applications still pending this
month.
Key fundamental news emerged this week in the form of
the Gazprom Management Committee and Ukraine‟s
Fuel and Energy Ministry deal on natural gas tariffs for
2008 at $179.50/‟000 cu m delivered at frontier. The
conclusion most see in this is a competitive Western
European N production industry (with fresh gas cutting
spot prices to EU importers) and a growing likelihood of
Ukrainian swing ammonia production – depending of
course - on downstream nitrogen product pricing.
US replacement ammonia demand is firm, with
competitive bids heard in the US Gulf market at up to
$410-415 pt cfr. January Tampa contract talks are
expected to be tackled next week. It remains to be seen
if the market is to expect another year of monthly (or
fortnightly) pricing.
Asian contract conclusions are still pending in South
Korea and EC India.
Ukraine-origin ammonia for traded in a
narrow range at $315-320 pt fob Yuzhny for December
loading, with a solitary 2H Jan load heard settled at
$350 pt fob. There were also reports of some small
volume business at $305 pt fob probably done at the
very end of the last business week. Both levels have
been left outside our regular date range. The low-end
number ($305 pt fob OPZ to Trammo) is deemed to be
old business while the top-end (Gorlovka to Keytrade) is
outside the prompt spot market, estimated for 20,000t to
load on 15-20 January on the Herakles. Anticipating the
next round of business, there is a wide spread in
remaining Jan spot price ambitions, between $345 and
$400 pt fob.
Sellers appear more confortable quoting into next year
now that a final settlement has emerged on the price of
Russian gas to Ukrainian industrial customers for 2008.
The Ukraine KIP (purely academic at $250 pt fob) will
probably be revised upwards for 2H December. Such a
low price for early December would indicate a very
different outlook among local factories going into
December. The recommendations behind the $250 pt
fob level were clearly substantially more pessimistic than
todays‟ reality.
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商家氨价格
坚定双方东部和西部的苏伊士,与前进的销售
到1月设置新高。新的现货业务
证实在315-320元,铂离岸价yuzhny ,与前进
市场到2小时1月说,买卖,甚至350元铂离岸价。
中东现货氨,与此同时,一直在做
三三五美元铂离岸价卡塔尔, auguring进一步增加进入印度
至于其余的公式,应用仍有待这
一个月。
关键的基本面消息出现在本星期在形式
在俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司管理委员会和乌克兰的“ S
燃料和能源部处理对天然气的关税
2008年在一百七十九点五○美元/ “万立方米上发表的边境。那个
结论,最见在这方面是具有竞争力的西部
欧洲n生产业(用新鲜气割
现货价格向欧盟进口商) ,以及越来越多的可能性
乌克兰摆动合成氨生产-视的
当然-对下游氮产品定价。
美国更换氨的需求,是坚定的,与
竞争性投标,听取了在美国的海湾市场上最多
410-415元,铂病死率。 1月坦帕合同谈判
预计将在下星期处理。它仍然有待观察
如果市场是期望又一年,每月(或
每两周)定价。
亚洲合同的结论仍悬而未决,在南
韩国和欧共体印度。
乌克兰原产地为氨交易在一
窄幅区间在315-320美元,铂离岸价为12月yuzhny
装载,与孤独的2小时1月负荷听到,收于
350元铂离岸价。也有报告一些小
业务量在三百零五美元铂离岸价大概在做
非常年底最后一个营业周。双方各级
遗留下来的以外,我们定期的日期范围。低端
号码(三○五美元铂离岸价opz以trammo )被认为是
旧的业务,而最高端的( gorlovka ,以keytrade )
外提示现货市场,估计到二点零零零万吨
负荷对1月15日至20日对赫拉克勒斯。期待
下一轮的业务,是有广泛的分布在
余下的1月现货价格的野心之间,三四五美元和
400元,铂离岸价。
卖家看起来更confortable引用到明年
现在,最后的解决已出现的价格
俄罗斯的天然气向乌克兰工业用户为2008年。
乌克兰的硖(纯学术性在250元,铂离岸价格)会
可能会向上修订为2小时12月。这样一个
低廉的价格为12月初将显示一个非常
不同的Outlook之间的本地工厂进入
12月。建议背后的250元,铂
离岸价水平,显然是大大超过较为悲观
今天的“现实。
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