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内容:在我国城市化快速发展的进程中,土地资源对地方经济增长的作用是举足轻重的,特别是我国土地出让金制度的建立和完善盘活了曾一度僵化的土地市场,大大提高了土地资源的配置效率... 内容:
在我国城市化快速发展的进程中,土地资源对地方经济增长的作用是举足轻重的,特别是我国土地出让金制度的建立和完善盘活了曾一度僵化的土地市场,大大提高了土地资源的配置效率,同时也推动了土地使用朝着集约化的方向发展。伴随着市场经济的飞速发展,土地出让收入越来越成为地方政府财政收入的主要来源,地方政府对这一收益的依赖性增强,这对地方经济的可持续发展和城市的理性扩张带来了诸多的负面影响。本文正是基于这样的现实对于土地出让收入与地方宏观经济增长之间的互动关系进行探究。
本文通过对土地出让收入与地方宏观经济增长二者之间互动关系的定量实证分析所得结论,剖析其中的内涵机理,旨在揭示二者之间的密切联系,并以此为基点提出对当下现实情况的政策建议。主要运用计量分析中的时间序列分析和面板数据分析相结合的研究方法,对2000年-2012年全国总量数据以及省级面板数据分别进行计量分析,得到如下结论:在城市化进程的加速阶段,土地出让收入的增加会带动地方宏观经济的增长,促进作用比较显著,同时经济的发展也对土地出让收入的作用方式及效力有着一定的影响,尤其是对处于不同经济发展阶段的地区之间进行对比考察之后发现经济发展程度较高的地区对土地出让收入的依赖性较小,反之则依赖性较大,上述结论得到验证。并且这种相互影响的关系是存在一定滞后性的,即同年期的经济指标增长不仅受到当期土地出让收入的影响,同时也会受到前期土地出让收入的影响。在定量分析结果的基础之上对二者的内在互动机理进行剖析,得出这种相互关系的影响效力并不是持续性的,因而依赖于土地出让收入的经济增长是不可持续的,基于如上提出相应的政策建议,以期能够对相关体制的完善有所助益,促进地方经济的合理有序发展。

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In the rapid development of our country in the process of city land resources play a decisive role, is the effects on local economy, especiallyChina's land transfer system's establishment and the consummation to revitalize the once rigid land market, greatly improving the efficiency of the allocation of land resources, but also promote the intensive land usein the the direction of development. With the rapid development of market economy, the land transfer income has increasingly become the mainsource of local fiscal revenue, local governments rely on this incomeenhancement, and brings about many negative impacts on the rational expansion of the sustainable development of local economy and the city.This is the reality for the interactive relationship between land revenue and local economic growth is based on.
Based on the land revenue and local economic growth between the twoempirical analysis of the relationship between the conclusion, analyzes the meaning of its mechanism, to reveal the close relationship betweenthe two, and then put forward policy suggestions on the basis of the reality of the situation. By the research methods of time series analysis and panel data analysis, quantitative analysis of the combination of thenational total, on 2000 -2012 data and econometric analysis of provincial panel data respectively, we get the following conclusions: the acceleration phase in the process of city, the land transfer incomeincrease will promote local economic growth, promoting effect obviously,at the same time, the economic development of land transfer mode of action and the effect of income have a certain influence, especially after the comparison study between regions at different stages of economic development is a higher degree of economic development of the area ofland revenue less dependent, whereas the larger dependence, theconclusion has been verified. This relationship of mutual influence andthere is a lag, economic indicators during the same year, the growth is not only influenced by the current land revenue, but also by the land transfer income effect. Inner interactive mechanism of the two on the basis of the analysis of the results of quantitative analysis, obtained the relationship of force is not continuous, which depends on the land transfer income growth is not sustainable, and puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations based on the above, in order to be able to contribute to perfect the related system, promoting a reasonable and orderly development of the local economy.
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